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Speeches

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; September Fed Meeting Preview

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Central Bank Watch Overview: Fed policymakers have been speaking in more hawkish tones, downplaying the idea that the rate hike cycle is finished and rate cuts are coming in 2023. More importantly, the FOMC, collectively, appears comfortable with allowing US financial assets to fall and the US unemployment rate to rise if that means US …

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; September Fed Meeting Preview Read More »

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; Jackson Hole Preview

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Central Bank Watch Overview: Fed policymakers have been pushing back against the notion that the rate hike cycle is finished. If Fed Chair Powell takes a similar path during his speech on Friday at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, it might help curb the ‘Fed pivot’ narrative that’s evolved in recent weeks. Rates markets …

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; Jackson Hole Preview Read More »

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; July Fed Meeting Preview

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Central Bank Watch Overview: Rates markets are fully discounting a 75-bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with a 13% chance of a 100-bps rate hike. A weakening US economy has capped US Treasury yields and led to a decline in market-based expectations of how much more tightening may be on the horizon: …

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; July Fed Meeting Preview Read More »

FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: BOE, ECB, & Fed Speeches; Chinese Manufacturing PMI; US PCE Index

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FX Week Ahead Overview: The final week of June will have central banks, inflation data, and supply chains in focus. Remarks by BOE Governor Bailey, ECB President Lagarde, and Fed Chair Powell – all at 13 GMT on Wednesday – could prove to be the biggest source of volatility all week. We may be looking …

FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: BOE, ECB, & Fed Speeches; Chinese Manufacturing PMI; US PCE Index Read More »

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; June Fed Meeting Preview

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Central Bank Watch Overview: Rates markets are now pricing in a 75-bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Rate hike expectations have ratcheted higher since the May US inflation rate report (CPI) on Friday; the US Treasury 2-year yield has seen its fastest climb since 2008. A new Summary of Economic Projects (SEP) …

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; June Fed Meeting Preview Read More »

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; May Fed Meeting Preview

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Central Bank Watch Overview: Rates markets are fully pricing in a 50-bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Rates markets have completely shrugged off any ‘dovish’ impact from the Russian invasion of Ukraine.. We’ll discuss how markets may react to the May Federal Reserve rate decision starting at 13:45 EDT/17:45 GMT on Wednesday, …

Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; May Fed Meeting Preview Read More »

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